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2024-12-14 05:41:39

Russian Foreign Intelligence Agency: After using the Hazelnut missile, NATO is worried that the "aggression" against Russia will become the basis for Russia to make a decisive response.The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)Dollar deposits and wealth management are popular again. Experts suggest paying attention to exchange risk. Although it is in the cycle of interest rate reduction by the Federal Reserve, dollar deposit products are still attractive to investors. Since December, a number of bank wealth management subsidiaries have intensively put on shelves US dollar wealth management products. Judging from the rate of return, the performance benchmark of some US dollar fixed-income wealth management products currently launched is close to 5%, but the performance benchmark of RMB wealth management products with the same risk level is mostly around 2%. According to the statistics of Puyi standard data, as of December 9, there were 1,312 surviving products in US dollar financing, and the surviving scale of US dollar financing reached 281.927 billion yuan, which has doubled from the surviving scale of 140.351 billion yuan at the end of December last year. In addition, although banks have previously lowered the interest rate of dollar deposit products, from the current point of view, the interest rate of some banks' dollar deposits remains above 4%, attracting many customers to buy. In addition, the annual interest rates of US dollar deposit products issued by banks such as Ningbo Bank Co., Ltd. and hengfeng bank Co., Ltd. are also between 3% and 4%. According to industry insiders, under the Fed's interest rate cut cycle, the main reason for the high heat of dollar wealth management and dollar deposits is the exchange rate expectation of a strong dollar. If the market expects the US dollar to appreciate or remain stable, holding US dollar assets (such as US dollar wealth management and US dollar deposits) can benefit from the potential exchange rate appreciation even if interest rates fall. In addition, in order to diversify risks, some investors choose to allocate part of their funds to US dollar assets to realize diversification of asset allocation. (Securities Daily)


Foreign investment increased by 9.7% in the first 10 months. China enterprises need multiple supporting escorts to "go global". At present, it has become the general trend for China enterprises to "go global". The data from January to October 2024 recently released by the Ministry of Commerce shows that the amount of foreign direct investment in China's whole industry has increased steadily. Statistics from the Ministry of Commerce and the foreign exchange bureau show that from January to October 2024, China's foreign direct investment in the whole industry was 135.87 billion US dollars, up 9.7% year-on-year. From large-scale infrastructure enterprises to build traffic arteries overseas, to technology companies to set up R&D centers in foreign countries, and then to manufacturers to lay out overseas factories, China enterprises have a wide and in-depth overseas footprint. However, it is worth noting that in the increasingly complex international environment, the support of professional supporting services is very important for China enterprises in the process of "going global". (SSE)Morgan Stanley downgraded Hikvision to equal rating, with a target price of RMB in 36 yuan. Andy Meng, an analyst at Morgan Stanley, was previously rated as over-matched. The target price is 36 yuan RMB, which is up by 14%.Ukraine plans to legalize cryptocurrency in early 2025. It is reported that cryptocurrency will be legalized in Ukraine by the first quarter of 2025, but it is unlikely to provide tax relief. Danylo Hetmantsev, Chairman of the Finance, Taxation and Customs Policy Committee of the Ukrainian Parliament, said: "When it comes to cryptocurrencies, the working group of the Parliament is completing the first reading of a draft law. I believe that the text worked out in cooperation with the National Bank and the International Monetary Fund (IMF) will be ready after the New Year. Our goal is to pass this law and legalize cryptocurrency in the first quarter of 2025. " Hetmantsev said that cryptocurrency will not be tax-free, and the form of tax will follow the example of securities and tax profits when assets are converted into currency. "After consulting with European experts and the IMF, we are very cautious about using cryptocurrency for tax exemption, because it may aggravate tax evasion in traditional markets," he said.


Coffee C dropped by over 4.3%, while new york Cocoa dropped by about 0.5%, leaving the highest level in history. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), ICE raw sugar futures rose by 1.33% and ICE white sugar futures rose by 0.50%. ICE coffee "C" futures fell 4.35% to 319.60 cents/pound, after reaching 348.35 cents at 19:51 on December 10th. Robusta coffee futures fell 2.50% to 5101 per ton, and reached 5694 on November 29th. New york cocoa futures fell 0.47% to US$ 10,507/ton; According to Bloomberg data, it has hit a record high for several days since it broke through the top of $8,984 on April 24 on November 22, and it reached 10,690 on December 10. London cocoa futures rose 0.30% to 8429, reaching 8500 at 17:30 Beijing time-also hitting a record high for several days in a row. ICE cotton futures rose 1.02%.Brazilian President Lula will undergo surgery again on the 12th. On the 11th local time, according to the latest announcement issued by the hospital, Brazilian President Lula will undergo surgery again on the morning of the 12th local time. Earlier in the day, the Syrian-Lebanese Hospital in Sao Paulo, Brazil released the latest report, saying that President Lula is "conscious and clear-headed, and can have a normal conversation". At present, a drainage tube is still placed at Lula's surgical site, waiting for further examination. Lula had no postoperative complications and was in good condition. On the evening of the 9th local time, Lula was sent to this hospital for surgery due to intracranial hemorrhage.Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of macro-policy at present. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 pointed out that it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency and expand domestic demand in all directions. At present, China is in the stage of rapid growth of service consumption. In the future, all parties should continuously optimize and expand service supply, better stimulate the endogenous kinetic energy of service consumption, and provide strong support for expanding domestic demand and stimulating the economy. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.

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